James Jones has established himself as the engine of the New Mexico State Aggies offense, piling up 534 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 76 carries over his last four games. As New Mexico State prepares to host the Jacksonville State Gamecocks on October 28, 2026, the market sets the visiting Gamecocks as 3.5-point favorites across consensus boards including BallyBet and BetMGM. Jacksonville State brings a 15-day rest advantage into Las Cruces compared to 7 days for New Mexico State.
James Jones and New Mexico State's Offensive Distribution
The underlying numbers for James Jones showcase a heavy volume on the ground, averaging over seven yards per carry across his four-game stretch through October 21. Complementing Jones in the backfield, Terrell Washington Jr. has logged 35 rushing attempts for 119 yards and one touchdown, while adding nine receptions for 54 yards.
Through the air, Adam Damante has completed 59 of 96 passes for 572 yards, five touchdowns, and three interceptions across four games, alongside 10 rushing carries for -10 yards and one score. Josiah Thomas leads the team in receptions during this four-game block with 12 catches for 172 yards, while AJ Williams III has added seven receptions for 112 yards and two touchdowns. Trey Hedden also appeared in two games ending October 7, completing 9 of 27 passes for 125 yards, zero touchdowns, and three interceptions.
Because player form covers each team's last four completed games and recent results stretch across ten games, the broader team log reaches back into late 2025 (beginning November 15, 2025, against Tennessee). Over their last three games in October 2026, the Aggies defeated Sam Houston 30-24 on October 21, fell 22-3 to Florida International on October 7, and beat Western Kentucky 34-13 on October 1.
Caden Creel and Jacksonville State's Balanced Attack
Jacksonville State's four-game player form dataset through October 13 is headlined by quarterback Caden Creel. Creel has completed 78 of 117 pass attempts for 960 yards, six touchdowns, and four interceptions, while adding 282 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 51 carries.
Creel's primary downfield target has been Deondre Johnson, who has accumulated 323 receiving yards and three touchdowns on 14 receptions over four games. Darius Cannon provides short-range volume with a team-high 18 receptions for 137 yards, while Luke Gilbert has contributed nine catches for 148 yards and one touchdown.
On the ground, Lucas Farrington has registered 22 carries for 169 yards and one touchdown alongside three receptions for 30 yards. Jalen Likely has added 24 carries for 80 yards and one touchdown over three games through October 7, while catching five passes for 42 yards and a touchdown.
Recent Form and Market Metrics
Jacksonville State enters on a four-game winning streak, edging Florida International 27-24 on October 13, Kennesaw State 27-26 on October 7, Middle Tennessee 23-13 on September 26, and Georgia Southern 31-27 on September 19.
| Team | Last Game Date | Rest Days | Market Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 2026-10-13 | 15 | -3.5 (-102 to -118) |
| New Mexico State Aggies | 2026-10-21 | 7 | +3.5 (-110 to -122) |
The total has shifted from an opening 48.5 to a current 49.5 across books like FanDuel and MyBookie. Per editorial standards, we publish no college football model picks, leaving the direct output from player production and market lines to frame the matchup.
More from the Sharp Report: all NCAAF articles · Jacksonville State · New Mexico State