Nikola Štulić Ruled Out for Lecce: Injury Event Analysis

On October 11, 2026, Lecce officially logged a database injury update regarding forward Nikola Štulić. The event records Štulić with an injury type of "Missing Fixture" and an injury status of "Muscle Injury" for fixture 1550143, observed at 09:49:25 UTC. The active injury snapshot carries the exact same timestamp, confirming that the current status matches the reported news event precisely.

Database Event Details

The underlying database event (soccer:856) was sourced from API-Football at 09:49:25.693576 UTC on October 11, 2026, and logged into the system at 09:49:25.871978 UTC. The change records Nikola Štulić under "Missing Fixture" with a reason of "Muscle Injury" for Lecce in Serie A (2026 season).

Because the current injury snapshot bears the identical observation timestamp of 2026-10-11 09:49:25.871978 UTC and reflects identical values—"Missing Fixture" for injury type and "Muscle Injury" for injury status—there is no later state modification to distinguish from the original event report. The entry represents the latest status present in the database.

Team and Player Production Analysis

Analysis: To evaluate what Štulić's absence represents for Lecce, we must look strictly at the available statistical metrics from recent match samples. Across a four-game stretch from August 31, 2026, to September 20, 2026, Nikola Štulić averaged 61.3 minutes per match. Over those appearances, Štulić recorded 0 goals, 0 assists, 2 total shots, 1 shot on target, and 0 interceptions.

Metric	Nikola Štulić (4 Games)	Lecce Team Average (5 Games)
Sample Window	Aug 31 – Sep 20, 2026	Aug 31 – Sep 20, 2026
Goals / Avg Goals	0	0.60
Shots / Avg Shots	2 total	7.4 per game
Shots on Target / Avg SOT	1 total	3.0 per game

Lecce's team results across a five-game sample between August 31, 2026, and September 20, 2026, reflect 1 win, 0 draws, an average of 0.60 goals scored, and 2.80 goals allowed per match. During that window, Lecce averaged 40.0% possession, 7.4 shots, and 3.0 shots on target per game. Štulić accounted for two total shots during his 61.3 average minutes per match in that span.

Match Context and Model Projection

Lecce host Bologna on October 11, 2026, at 13:00 UTC, carrying a home spread line of 0.5 and a match total line of 2.5 goals.

The quantitative projection model highlights a pick on the game total, calculating a 0.6309 (63.09%) probability for Under 2.5 goals. That probability stands alongside a market line of 1.893 for Under 2.5. The gap between the 63.09% model probability and the 1.893 market price illustrates how the projection framework factors in Lecce's recent offensive average of 0.60 goals scored per match.