Navy vs. Notre Dame Data Preview: Market Lines and Form

The Navy Midshipmen host the Notre Dame Fighting Irish on October 31, 2026, with oddsmakers establishing the away team as a substantial favorite. The betting market opened with Notre Dame favored by 28.5 points and a total set at 53.5, but early movement pushed the spread to 30.5 and the total to 57.0 across major sportsbooks. Notre Dame arrives on 14 days of rest following a 28-24 road loss to the BYU Cougars, while Navy enters on seven days of rest after dropping a 49-39 home contest to the North Texas Mean Green.

Market Movement and Head-to-Head History

The two-point spread shift from 28.5 to 30.5 reflects consensus across sportsbooks, with shops like DraftKings and Bovada pricing Navy at +30.5 (-110) and Notre Dame at -30.5 (-110). On the moneyline, Notre Dame reaches -10000 at Sugarhouse and BetOnline, while Navy returns +3500 at BetMGM and +2500 at Hard Rock Bet.

Examining the ten-game sample provided for each program—which extends back into the 2025 season and includes Navy's 35-13 bowl game victory over the Cincinnati Bearcats on January 2, 2026—Navy has dropped two consecutive games and five of its last six. Notre Dame's 28-24 loss to BYU on October 17 ended a seven-game winning streak. Across their last four head-to-head meetings, Notre Dame won three, posting victories of 49-10 on November 8, 2025, 51-14 on October 26, 2024, and 35-32 on November 12, 2022. Navy's sole win in that four-game stretch came on August 26, 2023, by a 42-3 margin.

Notre Dame's Offensive Production

Over his last four completed games, quarterback CJ Carr completed 76 of 120 passes (63.3%) for 913 yards, 10 touchdowns, and one interception, while adding 18 carries for 79 yards and two rushing touchdowns. His top receiving targets have been Jordan Faison and Jaden Greathouse. Jordan Faison recorded 21 receptions for 278 yards and two touchdowns across those four games, while Jaden Greathouse caught 15 passes for 209 yards and two touchdowns.

In the backfield, Jonaz Walton led the team in rushing with 48 attempts for 379 yards (7.90 yards per carry) and three touchdowns, alongside four catches for 56 yards. Nolan James Jr. registered 42 rushing attempts for 243 yards and three touchdowns, adding six catches for 32 yards and two receiving scores. Aneyas Williams provided 32 rush attempts for 158 yards and one touchdown, while adding six catches for 87 yards and a receiving touchdown.

Navy's Offense and Individual Numbers

Navy's statistical output over the last four games centers on quarterback Jackson Gutierrez. Across that span, Jackson Gutierrez posted 100 rush attempts for 632 yards (6.32 yards per carry) and eight rushing touchdowns, while completing 23 of 40 passes for 511 yards, five touchdowns, and one interception. He also recorded one reception for 63 yards.

Running back Michael Barrow recorded 59 rush attempts for 310 yards and one touchdown, adding four receptions for 35 yards and one receiving score. Vic Listorti added 20 carries for 83 yards, while backup quarterback Braxton Woodson completed 3 of 6 passes for 76 yards and added 14 carries for 88 yards and a touchdown across three appearances. Out wide, Jordan Collins produced four catches for 144 yards and two touchdowns, and Truman Brasfield logged three catches for 135 yards and two touchdowns.

Player	Team	Games	Primary Production (Last 4 Games)	Total TDs
Jackson Gutierrez	Navy Midshipmen	4	511 pass yds, 632 rush yds	13
CJ Carr	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4	913 pass yds, 79 rush yds	12
Jonaz Walton	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4	379 rush yds, 56 rec yds	3
Jordan Faison	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4	21 rec, 278 rec yds	2

We publish no college football model picks, so no projected edge or model recommendation applies to these market numbers. The data highlights Notre Dame's 14-day rest period and high passing efficacy against Navy's heavy ground workload driven by Jackson Gutierrez.