Seth Jones leads all skaters in this matchup with seven points over his last five games while logging 24.9 minutes of ice time per contest. Florida enters as a consensus -250 home moneyline favorite against Chicago (+210) on a game total set predominantly at 5.5. Both clubs arrive with two days of rest following November 2 outings, bringing recent individual stat lines into focus.
Skater Form Over the Last Five Games
A five-game sample size carries inherent volatility, but individual underlying volume helps separate unsustainable shooting from core involvement. Seth Jones has produced one goal and six assists for Florida over five games while maintaining a plus-2 rating. For Chicago, Connor Bedard has generated six points (two goals, four assists) on 19 shots on goal across 20.9 minutes per game, providing the bulk of the visitor's offensive drive.
| Player | Team | G | A | PTS | SOG | TOI/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Jones | Florida Panthers | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24.9 |
| Connor Bedard | Chicago Blackhawks | 2 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 20.9 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | Florida Panthers | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 18.2 |
| Roman Kantserov | Chicago Blackhawks | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18.0 |
| Sam Reinhart | Florida Panthers | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 19.8 |
Florida's top unit shows balanced secondary scoring. Matthew Tkachuk has logged six points (one goal, five assists) in 18.2 minutes per game, while Sam Reinhart has scored three goals on 17 shots across 19.8 minutes per game. Carter Verhaeghe and Brady Tkachuk have each added five points over five games, with Brady Tkachuk firing 13 shots in 16.6 minutes per game and Carter Verhaeghe putting 12 shots on target in 18.3 minutes per game.
For Chicago, Roman Kantserov has matched Bedard's production rate with five points, posting three goals on eight shots in 18.0 minutes per game. Wyatt Kaiser has chipped in two goals and one assist on six shots over 20.1 minutes per game, while Patrick Kane has recorded three assists on six shots in 14.9 minutes per game.
Goaltending and Market Framework
Goaltending samples over five games remain thin, yet the differential in save efficiency is notable. Akira Schmid has posted a 0.929 save percentage across three games for Florida, stopping 65 of 70 shots in 60.0 minutes per game. Spencer Knight has recorded a 0.906 save percentage in four games for Chicago, allowing 11 goals on 117 shots while averaging 59.0 minutes per game. Arvid Söderblom made one appearance for Chicago, stopping 27 of 32 shots for a 0.844 save percentage over 62.5 minutes.
The market reflects Florida's baseline advantage, placing spread odds on Florida -1.5 between +100 and +110, while the total settled at 5.5 after opening at 9.5. Consensus moneyline pricing puts Florida at -250 and Chicago at +210. Our internal NHL model is currently under audit (SHA-979), meaning its projection should be evaluated as a single data point alongside market pricing rather than a definitive signal. In head-to-head history, Florida has won four of the last five meetings against Chicago, including a 3-2 victory on October 25, 2026.
More from the Sharp Report: all NHL articles · Chicago Blackhawks · Florida Panthers