Dan Ndoye Ruled Out: Nottingham Forest Data Analysis

Dan Ndoye is missing the fixture for Nottingham Forest after being listed with a muscle injury at 05:47 ET on October 31, 2026. The current injury snapshot recorded at that exact same time reflects the identical status, with Ndoye unavailable for the upcoming match. As Nottingham Forest prepare to visit Brentford on October 31, 2026, breaking down the numbers reveals how his absence impacts the club's tactical profile.

Analyzing Dan Ndoye's On-Pitch Contributions

Over an eight-game stretch from August 22, 2026, to October 23, 2026, Dan Ndoye established himself as a central figure in Nottingham Forest's attacking efforts. Playing an average of 65.9 minutes per match, Ndoye delivered two goals and zero assists while generating 19 total shots, four of which were on target. Defensively, he also added one interception across that span.

From an analytical standpoint, Ndoye's shooting volume stands out prominently. Generating 19 shots over eight matches while averaging under 66 minutes per appearance underlines how often Nottingham Forest funneled direct finishing attempts through him. His two goals account for a massive share of the team's overall scoring efficiency during this window.

Team Metrics and Off-Ball Context

Looking at the team performance from an analytical lens, Nottingham Forest's broader profile highlights the challenge of losing a key attacking contributor. Across nine matches between August 22, 2026, and October 23, 2026, Nottingham Forest recorded one win and four draws. Over that span, the team averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.33 goals allowed per match while holding 44.6% average possession.

Despite maintaining under 45% possession, Nottingham Forest averaged 16.6 shots and 3.7 shots on target per contest. In terms of data interpretation, losing Ndoye takes away 19 individual shots from a side that already struggles to translate high total shot volume into goals, given their 0.89 scoring average. Maintaining offensive production becomes a critical focus when a player responsible for two of the squad's recent goals is sidelined.

Model Output and Match Projection

Nottingham Forest travel to face Brentford on October 31, 2026, at 11:00 ET, with Brentford set as a -0.5 home spread favorite and the game total sitting at 2.5. Analytical projections provide baseline probabilities alongside current market pricing for this matchup:

Line	Selection	Model Probability	Market Price
Away Spread (+0.5)	Nottingham Forest	0.5354	1.962
Total (2.5)	Under	0.5308	2.200

The model evaluates Nottingham Forest on the +0.5 spread at a 0.5354 probability against market odds of 1.962. For the total, the model projects Under 2.5 goals at a 0.5308 probability alongside market odds of 2.200. Comparing these model probabilities against the listed prices offers a clear quantitative look at how the match is framed ahead of kickoff.