Analyzing Jon Aramburu's Injury Update for Real Sociedad

A verified database event on October 10, 2026, has logged an injury status update for Real Sociedad defender Jon Aramburu. The record details a reported status change ahead of the club's upcoming fixture schedule. Analyzing these verified event details alongside recent sample metrics helps contextualize Aramburu's workload and the team's defensive profile.

Verified Database Event Details

The database event (ID 829, key soccer:829) was logged from source api_football with an initial source observation timestamp of 2026-10-10 09:47:06.566954+00:00 and an event observation timestamp of 2026-10-10 09:47:06.688450+00:00. The reported change details indicate a change_kind of "reported", an injury_type of "Missing Fixture", an injury_status of "Muscle Injury", and a reason of "Muscle Injury" linked to fixture ID 1570412.

The current_injury_snapshot was observed at 2026-10-10 09:47:06.688450+00:00—timestamped explicitly after the initial source observation time of 09:47:06.566954+00:00. This current state reflects an injury_type of "Missing Fixture" and an injury_status of "Muscle Injury", with no expected return date or injury reported date present in the record.

Performance Profile Analysis

Analysis of the data reveals how active Jon Aramburu was in Real Sociedad's tactical setup over a seven-match sample between August 21, 2026, and September 20, 2026. During that stretch, Aramburu logged heavy-minute shifts and led key defensive disruptions.

Metric (7-Game Sample)	Jon Aramburu	Real Sociedad Team Avg
Minutes per Game	85.1	—
Interceptions	16	—
Shots (On Target)	4 (2)	13.4 (5.1)
Goals / Assists	0 / 0	1.29 / —
Goals Allowed per Game	—	1.86
Average Possession	—	49.3%

Analysis indicates that losing a player who averaged 85.1 minutes per game impacts a Real Sociedad defense that posted 3 wins and 1 draw across those 7 matches while allowing 1.86 goals per game. Aramburu contributed 16 interceptions defensively while adding 4 shots (2 on target) offensively. Real Sociedad averaged 49.3% possession, 13.4 shots, and 5.1 shots on target per match across that same window.

Model Framework and Fixture Context

Real Sociedad are scheduled to host Deportivo La Coruña on October 11, 2026, at 14:15:00+00:00. The match carries a home spread line of -1.0 and a game total set at 2.5.

Model projections generated for this match display the following probabilities alongside current market pricing:

• Spread Pick (Away +0.5): Model probability of 0.5594 paired with market odds of 1.952.
• Total Pick (Over 2.5): Model probability of 0.5718 paired with market odds of 1.833.

Evaluating these data points side by side offers a clear, objective picture of where the quantitative model stands relative to market evaluation as Real Sociedad enter their next contest.