Pape Gueye Red Card Status Update and Impact

A database event registered on Oct. 28, 2026, at 05:46 ET confirms that Villarreal player Pape Gueye has been assigned a missing fixture status due to a red card. The current injury snapshot recorded at the identical timestamp matches the event entry exactly, listing fixture 1570442 as the impacted match. Here is a quantitative evaluation of what his absence removes from Villarreal's profile heading into their upcoming fixture against Espanyol.

Database Event Details

The news log (event ID 1278) was observed via api_football at 05:46 ET on Oct. 28, 2026. The source record lists Pape Gueye with an injury type of "Missing Fixture", an injury status of "Red Card", and a reason of "Red Card" tied specifically to fixture ID 1570442.

The current injury snapshot shares the exact same timestamp of 2026-10-28 05:46 ET. Because both entries were recorded at the same time, the current snapshot does not represent a later status update; it mirrors the reported news event precisely. Neither record lists an expected return date or a reported injury date.

Production Profile and On-Pitch Impact (Analysis)

Analysis: Over a 9-game sample spanning Aug. 23, 2026, to Oct. 24, 2026, Pape Gueye logged an average of 69.7 minutes per match for Villarreal. During this stretch, he scored 2 goals with 0 assists on 15 total shots, placing 5 of those shots on target while registering 7 interceptions.

Metric	Pape Gueye	Villarreal Team
Sample Window	9 Games (Aug 23 – Oct 24)	10 Games (Aug 23 – Oct 24)
Avg Minutes	69.7	—
Goals	2	1.30 per game
Shots (On Target)	15 (5)	17.3 (5.9) per game
Interceptions	7	—

Gueye's 15 shots represent a notable share of Villarreal's offensive output during his time on the pitch, and his 7 interceptions reflect his defensive contributions across his 9 appearances.

Team Profile and Market Context (Analysis)

Analysis: Across a 10-game team sample from Aug. 23, 2026, to Oct. 24, 2026, Villarreal posted 3 wins and 2 draws. The club averaged 1.30 goals scored and 1.30 goals allowed per match while controlling an average of 62.3% possession. Team shot volume stood at 17.3 attempts per game with 5.9 shots on target per match.

Villarreal next plays Espanyol on Oct. 30, 2026, at 16:00 ET. The current market lines set Villarreal as -1.5 home favorites with a total of 3.5.

On Oct. 25, 2026, at 06:06 ET—three days before the red card entry was logged—the quantitative model evaluated a spread pick on Villarreal at -1.0. The model calculated a 0.5501 home cover probability alongside a market price of 1.870. Stating these figures side by side establishes the baseline market pricing and model expectation prior to the verified status change.